šŸ’ Blackjack ā€“ A Game of Luck or Skill? ā€“ Get lucky with Blackjack using skills

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In tournament play, which is not a particularly long trial, there seems to be evidence that skill plays an important role: Examining the performance in the


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The card game of Blackjack is rich with features and is a casino game where player skill can have a salutary effect. Play it at This refers to the theory that any occurrence is likely during every round in a game of chance.


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In tournament play, which is not a particularly long trial, there seems to be evidence that skill plays an important role: Examining the performance in the


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A game of chance is a game whose outcome is strongly influenced by some randomizing A game of skill may also may have elements of chance, but skill plays a greater role in This is especially true where the player or players have decisions to make based upon previous or incomplete knowledge, such as blackjack.


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The card game of Blackjack is rich with features and is a casino game where player skill can have a salutary effect. Play it at This refers to the theory that any occurrence is likely during every round in a game of chance.


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The supreme court of Sweden decided that poker texas holdem is a game of both skill and chance. I think the "more" part of the title question is difficult to answer. Asked 7 years, 5 months ago. There is an element of chance to each individual hand, but the game isn't just one hand, it's a whole series. More than most card games, poker is a game of psychology and reading other people. Many forms of gambling have components of skill, but I'm sure no judge is going to say that blackjack shouldn't be classed as gambling. A skilled non-card-counting Blackjack player playing "basic strategy" under typical casino rules has a negative expected value around the A non-skilled Blackjack player will make sub-optimal decisions, and will on average lose at a much higher rate. Is poker more a game of skill than chance?

Skeptics Stack Exchange is a question and answer site for scientific skepticism. Maybe is blackjack a game of skill or chance they hold their cards, their posture, nervous gestures, maybe just their eyes How strongly do you raise when you have a good hand?

You want to win the hand after they've matched your raises, not after they folded. And, how do they meet your raises? There is definitely skill, and possibly even a bit of innate ability involved in being a top poker player.

The best players learn to read cues from their opponents, to gauge just how strongly that person feels about their hand. Unfortunately, this metric is difficult to calculate for more interesting games, like any full-fledged poker variant.

The authors note that playing 1, hands may seem like a big number, but can be reached in 13 hours of online play and about 33 hours in a brick-and-mortar casino.

What posts should be escalated to staff using [status-review], and how do Iā€¦. It's along the same line of arguing that coin toss is a game of skill because you could swallow the coin while trying to flip it.

I have to admit I find the answer to be blindingly obvious. Poker game texas is blackjack a game of skill or chance matter of both luck and skill, hitting the Supreme Court HD caught in an unusual sentence.

However, as these studies show, skill is the determining factor in long-term outcome. Sign up to join this community. You need a metric for "more". There is no doubt there is an element of chance involved in Poker. Enough to up the ante, but not so much you scare off the other players.

From the table, it's obvious that whom is blackjack a game of skill or chance is playing against makes a big difference in winrate and thus CRF. If it is a question of law, then it is the only thing that matters.

The issue is thus, whether or not the skill element is greater than the element of is blackjack a game of skill or chance. I believe that is only relevant to "correct" play based on pot odds and ignores psychological aspects, betting and bluffing strategies, etc.

I'm ignoring card-counting in Blackjack as an unnecessary distraction. Hesitantly, is blackjack a game of skill or chance confidently and topping your raise?

Examining the performance in the World Series of Poker group of poker players identified as being highly skilled prior to the start of the events.

In a ruling that goes to the heart of what it means to play poker, Judge Jack B. The unequivocal finding is that poker is a game of skill. Absolute winrate goes down pretty fast and CRF goes up with the experience group because the big losers go away quickly.

Your argument seems to be "If the expected outcome is negative, it is luck-based, by definition.

If this is a question of scientific fact, what an arbitrary authority decides is not definitive evidence.

The best answers are voted up and rise to the top. So rather than having a theoretical discussion as to the beginner's behavior, now one has to decide how clueless of a player one allows into the sample.

In tournament read article, which is not a particularly long trial, there seems to be evidence that skill plays an important role: Examining the performance in the World Series of Poker group of poker players identified as being highly skilled prior to the start of the events.

This appears to be pretty much a repeat of the claim - the evidence is no stronger than original claim. It only takes a minute to sign up. Good try, Chris, powersim blackjack I have explained several times why there is a problem with the question.

They looked at a learn more here tighter question - could simple instruction improve the expected outcome of some non-expert players? Luck random factors disguises the fact that poker is a game of skill.

Active Oldest Votes. Oddthinking, blackjack also clearly has a strong elements of chance, and b elements of skill, however the game is ultimately one of luck, because even with perfect play, you will lose the game unless you are lucky.

In Study 2, participants played hands equivalent to about 30 hours of casino play. In tournament play, which is not a particularly long trial, there seems to be evidence that skill plays an important role:. While both answers were good, the reference provided was very interesting in this one.

I maintain my objection the claim is meaningless. The sigma is the standard deviation of that winrate with the odd twist that they say the could not compute it except for the last group, so that's why the entire column has the same value. What this suggests is that obtaining accurate estimates of poker ability may not be easy.

In both studies, participants who were instructed outperformed those who were not instructed. I think your sub optimal strategy approach is a bit flawed. The court decided that while the game is a game mostly of chance in a tournament form it is a game of skill.

It also has a strong element of chance - but the impact of chance tends to even out over time. Yes, I fail to see the connection - because there isn't one. Weinstein tossed out the conviction and vacated the indictment of the man who ran that gambling business.

Home Questions Tags Users Unanswered. I just read a NY Times article which claims that a US Judge ruled that poker is a game of skill and not one of chance. The median winrate in that table is an absolute value and expressed in BBs big blinds adjusted for rakeso that the numbers are comparable across different-BB stake groups.

It will cost you the next raise, to find out. Several papers have used the metric proposed in "On a relative measure of skill for games with chance elements" : a scale of 0 to 1 for the skill element, calculated as.

Several papers have calculated this skill value for simplified versions of poker. Moderator Election - Community Interest Check.

Note: I am still flailing, trying to figure out what the question means. The reason that poker appears to be a game of luck is that the reliability of any short session is low. The best ones know when to meet a challenge, and when to fold, by reading their opponents. Therefore, Blackjack has a strong element of skill. Given that poker is a complex skill, it is somewhat surprising that even elementary instructions and limited practice had an effect. Viewed 2k times. The Judge declared that poker is not a form of gambling because of the skill involved. Is there any evidence to support that poker is a game of skill and not luck? Those players identified a priori as being highly skilled achieved an average return on investment of over 30 percent, compared to a percent for all other players. Study 2 met the psychometric qualification for moderate reliability of a psychometric task. You support posting evidence of a claim in "meta", but you seem to have blatantly disregarded the link that I posted in the question. So, a slightly older paper has results I think are worth mentioning. This is a largely meaningless question. Active 2 years, 6 months ago. Fizz Fizz Which in English via Google translate: HD: Both luck and skill in poker Poker game texas holdem matter of both luck and skill, hitting the Supreme Court HD caught in an unusual sentence. Ask Question. Extreme example: If you are dealt a Royal Flush, you cannot lose. This large gap in returns is strong evidence in support of the idea that poker is a game of skill. Another way to tackle this problem is experimentally as in the accepted answer, but do note that the NBER paper discussed there is using a proxies for skill past winning and measures derived from that like rankings , so it is measuring more of an autocorrelation past winnings predicting present ones. The issue is that I understand the field and the question needs clarifying. The winner isn't the person who won the most hands, but the one who wins the most money. The issue isn't that I am naive about the field and don't understand the question. Sklivvz Kenshin Kenshin 3, 5 5 gold badges 21 21 silver badges 46 46 bronze badges. We're switching to CommonMark. Chris: I'm afraid the BlackJack analogy isn't helping. Play 10, hands, and the situation reverses. Chris: Doesn't this answer the question in the comment "Is it possible for a poker player to gain a long term-edge over his opponents? Featured on Meta. In a casino game of poker, about 25 hands are dealt per hour.